Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Export demand declines but the trade deficit reduces

There has been significant decline in the exports due to slump global market demand. The industry has witnessed decline of around 11% YoY in the exports. The poor economic conditions in European Union and Japan has resulted majorly in the decline of exports. Despite of lower exports in the current fiscal year the trade deficit has reduced to 11-month low of 8.3% due to lower crude prices. The contraction in the demand for non-oil merchandise is a bad indicator. There has been rise in the gold, non-oil merchandise and non-gold imports and reduction in the exports of non-oil merchandise will result in the reduction of trade surplus in the service sector which rose from $ 6.3 billion to $7.6 billion in a year. Government of India needs to introduce radical changes in the Union Budget and foreign trade policy to support the export sector as the Indian exports have been hovering around a figure of $ 300 billion since 2011-12.

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